By Tony Calvin - 15 September 2025
This morning, I have had another look at all the races that have been priced up, and absolutely nothing appeals as a bet at this stage.
I have updated the Ayr (note the Saturday forecast of 21mm, with the rain due to start at 1pm at the moment) and Newbury goings and weather for you, if you are interested in having a bet.
The courses have both dried out to good to soft, soft in places, overnight.
The Newbury forecast doesn’t look too bad, though they could get 6mm tomorrow
———-.
There were 252 in the Ayr Gold Cup (3.35pm) on Monday morning. Ain’t Nobody, Almeraq and Northern Ticker were the 8s co-favourites if you shopped around.
As at 11.59am, there were a mere 201 – and Almeraq wasn’t one of those, unsurprisingly so after that fall.
Northern Ticker is now the general 6s favourite. In fact, 6s across the board with everyone, including AKBets.
And, over at Newbury, there were 33 in the Group 2 Mill Reef (3.15pm). I don’t think there was an ante-post market on that race; if there was, it had disappeared by the time I looked.
As at 11.59am, there were nine confirmations and presumably one supplemented in the Mill Reef. so 10 in total.
They were Flying Comet, Gold Queen Kindly, Kilfrush Blue, Rock On Thunder, Rydale Frosty, Sands Of Spain, Watcha Snoop and the Charlie Appleby pair of Wise Approach and Words Of Truth – and that one unknown supplementary by the looks of it.
Aidan O’Brien hadn’t confirmed any of his three entries with a minute to go. And still hadn’t a minute later.
Wise Approach is the clear form horse (without knowing what has been supplemented), rated 114 after his Morny third, but he has never raced on anything officially slower than good (see going and weather below), something that Timeform agrees with.
Jim Boyle’s runaway course winner Into The Sky (and I am always wary of wide-margin winners here, for all he won in a very good time) is the most likely horse to have been supplemented (at a cost of £6,250).
Indeed, it is the horse in question, as I have just been pointed to a column on the Sporting Life website.
You can read the full article here – https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/into-the-sky-to-wear-new-colours-after-tabors-buy-into-jim-boyle-trained-juvenile/227589 – but Into The Sky will now carry the black and white silks of Doreen Tabor, wife of Michael, in partnership with Wilson and Stanbridge as he bids to get the new partnership off to a dream start in Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes back at Newbury this weekend.
Flying Comet is also entered at Ayr on Friday but, as at 3pm, no-one had priced the race up (named in honour of Geoff Lewis this season).
Actually, one firm has and they bet 15/8. 5/2, 11/4, 3s and 5s the first five in their betting….(Into The Sky is their fav in that highly attractive book).
Bookmakers have only priced up the Ayr Gold Cup at this stage (all firms are a quarter the odds 1,2,3,4) , and I am not inclined to get involved in any of the races ante-post, looking at their make-ups.
That obviously may change after I see the prices but I’d work on the basis of nothing doing at the moment.
Remember, there will be 25 runners in the Ayr Gold Cup on Saturday (and the Silver Cup), and the place terms that will generate. By the way, check out that updated Saturday forecast….
I may well be back tomorrow morning, though.
They have priced up the Ayr Gold Cup, the Doonside Cup and the Dubai Duty Free Handicap.
In the meantime, check out this week’s The Racing Room podcast.
YOUTUBE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EMuajIswFLY
SPOTIFY: https://open.spotify.com/episode/1cOHIkg81wP8pGteYuOOwa
APPLE: https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/ak-bets-podcast/id1699565715
GOING – Good to soft, soft in places
Going stick: 6.5, Tuesday 7.30am (was 6.2, Monday 9.30am)
Rails: All Rails Inner Line
Stalls: 6f,5f,5f 110yds Centre; 7f, 1m 2f Outside; Remainder Inside
Tuesday morning course update: Partly Cloudy.0.5mm Past 24hrs Tue: Mainly Dry, 16c Wed: Early Rain, Then Dry Afternoon, 17c Thur: Mainly Dry, 18c Fri: Mainly Dry, Showers In Evening 16c Sat: Chance Light Showers, 16c
Weather: 6.2mm Wednesday; 21mm Saturday
GOING: Good to soft, soft in places
Going stick: 4.5, Monday 6.30am
Soil moisture average = 62.4% (updated Mon 15th Sept)
Rails: Fresh ground on the 7f & 5f bends for day 2 (last raced on 28th August).
Stalls: 1m2f & 1m5f – Inside. Remainder (straight course) – centre.
Tuesday morning course update: 1mm of rain yesterday & very windy. Forecast: Windy again today (gusting 40mph). 4-7mm of rain from midnight through to tomorrow afternoon. Dry on Thursday with temperatures rising to 21C. Hazy sunshine on Friday with temperatures reaching 23C.
Weather: showers all week, nothing too heavy at present though (6mm on Wednesday the most on any given day)
1.30pm Newbury: Adrestia, Balmoral Lady, Beautiful Diamond, First Instinct, Kassaya, Queen All Star, Rhyme Dust (due to run at Yarmouth on Tuesday)
1.50pm Ayr: None though a few fair in early-closers in coming weeks
2.05pm Newbury: Azahara Palace, Beylerbeyi, Boatswain, Castle Cave, Forest Gate, Pole Star, Spinning Wheel (due to run at Ayr on Thursday), Tashkhan
2.25pm Ayr Silver Cup: N/A
2.40pm Newbury: Alcaraz, Calla Lagoon, Castle Cove, Due To Henry, Forest Gate, Stem
3pm Ayr: Anaisa, Argentine Tango, Figjam, India Love, Lebron Power, Pearl Fortune, Rogue Attraction, Solana Rose (few in early-closers next week)
3.15pm Newbury: Flying Comet (some are in early-closers next week – Flying Comet, Gold Queen Kindly and Wise Approach are in Middle Park on Sep 27, while Watcha Snoop and Sands Of Spain are in races on October 4)
3.35pm Ayr Gold Cup (201 possibles) – Of the top 25 in the field (maximum field of 25) the following are double entered: Northern Express and Aramram
RACE-BY RACE ANALYSIS 2.20pm Newmarket – It is that hood stat again for Appleby……
SATURDAY’S COURSE DETAILS NEWMARKET GOING: Good GOING STICK: 6.9 , Thursday 8am Rails: Stands Side Course in Use…
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